اثر المتغيرات السياسية على تفاقم ظاهرة النزوح والتهجير في محافظة صلاح الدين بمنظور جغرافي

Abstract

The problem of displacement is one of the most important problems in the geopolitical arena because of this phenomenon of great impact in the Iraqi society in general and the province of Salah al-Din in particular And its impact on the restructuring of the class structure of civil society and political and current political systems and the extent of their awareness of this major problem affecting society, Therefore, the problem of research, represented by a statement of the impact of political variables on the phenomenon of displacement and displacement in the province of Salah al-Din and the attempt to detect the causes of this phenomenon and geopolitical distance through the statement of the location of the strategic region Which is a link between the provinces of the north and south, as well as showing the most important variables that have affected the aggravation of the phenomenon and the use of the methodology of force analysis and quantitative approach and the use of statistical means and laws, including the law of the standard degree to know the extent of dispersion of the displaced And their geographical distribution from the province of Salah al-Din to other governorates and vice versa, and then representation of such data maps, including maps of unilateral movement and maps Corballth using the standard and GIS programs (Arc gis10.5), And then use the simple linear regression law to reveal the relationship between two basic variables, the time and the preparation of migrants, and the knowledge of the type of relationship and the discovery of the impact of the strength of political variables on the preparation of migrants in a period of time using the statistical programs of the program (Spss), To try to reach solutions that are appropriate to the current situation, as well as to indicate the extent of the impact of the waves of displacement on the economic and social system existing in the expelling areas (region of origin) and attractive areas (receiving region), The impact of the waves on the future of the political system and its components, and their reflection on the reality of the electoral system and the seriousness of the aggravation of the phenomenon that may lead to the emergence of the so-called political regions of some regions and geographically and politically divided into areas of national or sectarian or ethnic, And the extent of the government's awareness of this phenomenon and accelerate the development of urgent solutions aimed at citizenship and change loyalty of nationalism and doctrine to loyalty to the homeland, and then review the most important solutions at the local and regional level and review the most important conclusions and recommendations of the study.