Climate Modeling of the Temperature Element for Kirkuk and Tikrit Stations
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Abstract
This study aims to analyze climate changes and identify temperature extremes at the Kirkuk and Tikrit stations using statistical methods. The study results showed that thermal fluctuation varies between the two stations, with Kirkuk recording higher fluctuation than Tikrit due to its geographical location and the influence of unstable air masses. It was also found that thermal fluctuation is more intense during winter and less noticeable in summer.
When analyzing temperature models, temperatures were classified into three patterns: hot model, moderate model, and cold model. The moderate model was found to be the most frequent in both stations, with a recurrence rate of 74% in Kirkuk and 77.4% in Tikrit, reflecting relative stability in temperatures. The hot model appeared at a rate of 16% in Kirkuk and 9.7% in Tikrit, while the cold model recurred at 9% and 12.9%, respectively. This indicates the presence of minor temperature extremes at both stations.
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