النمذجة الخرائطية لتوزيع معدلات الاعالة الحقيقية في محافظة كركوك

Abstract

This study seeks to examine and model the spatial configuration of real dependency ratios in Kirkuk Governorate for 2023 through the application of cartographic techniques and Geographic Information Systems (GIS), with the aim of detecting spatial disparities across administrative units. An inductive framework and quantitative analytical methods are employed, complemented by modern technical approaches to cartographic model development, and supported by data obtained from the Central Statistical Organization. The findings indicate pronounced spatial differentiation in real dependency ratios, with elevated levels observed in the districts of Daquq and Al-Hawija, as well as the sub-districts of Shwan, Al-Abbasi, and Al-Multaqa, whereas the lowest levels were identified in the central area of Kirkuk District. Furthermore, the analysis reveals that dependency burdens are strongly linked to the population’s age composition and environmental context, particularly the predominance of younger age groups in rural-oriented administrative units. Cartographic modeling proved effective in delineating spatial variations with a higher degree of precision than conventional techniques. The study underscores the critical role of GIS in enhancing population and service planning and in informing the development of sustainable policies in Kirkuk Governorate